The Effect of Climate Fluctuations on Vegetation Dynamics in West and Northwest of Iran

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Department of Arid and Mountainous Reclamation Region, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.

2 University of Tehran

3 Department of Arid and Mountainous Reclamation Regions, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

4 Department of Physical Geography (Geomorphology), Faculty of Geography University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

Vegetation plays an essential role in the ecosystem that its change will alter the ecosystem. This research tried to study temperature and precipitation fluctuations on vegetation conditions in the west and northwest of Iran. For this purpose, the NDVI was determined for June from 2000 to 2016.based on the MOD13Q1 production of the MODIS satellite. Initially, using mean annual temperature and total annual precipitation of 49 stations in the study area, rainfall and temperature maps were prepared in ArcGIS 10.5 software each year and then categorized into five classes by the natural break method. The correlation coefficient was calculated using Pearson correlation between NDVI map with temperature and precipitation maps in the next step. Finally, the correlation was investigated in different temperature and precipitation classes. The results showed that the highest NDVI mean correlation with temperature and precipitation occurred in 8-12 °C with a value of 0.36 and 213-300 mm classes with a value of 0.38, respectively. According to this issue, the northern parts of the study area have a lower temperature, and precipitation responds to climate fluctuations more than other sites. Studying climate fluctuations is recommended for assessing better the temporal and spatial vegetation dynamics. Exploring the human activity's impacts on vegetation changes is proposed to realize vegetation's temporal and spatial dynamics to manage vegetation cover and prevent its degradation.

Keywords


  1. Adhikary, K., Muttil, N., Yilmaz, A. G., 2017. Cokriging for enhanced spatial interpolation of rainfall in two Australian catchments. Hydrological Processes, 31(12), 2143-2161
  2. Allen CD, Macalady AK, Chenchouni H., 2010. A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests. Forest Ecololgy and Management, 259(5), 660-684.
  3. Bao, G., Bao, Y. H., Sanjjava, A., Qin, Z. H., Zhou, Y., Xu, G., 2015. NDVI-indicated long-term vegetation dynamics in Mongolia and their response to climate change at biome scale. International journal of climatology. 35(14), 4293–4306. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4286
  4. Behrang Manesh, M., Khosravi, H., Heydari Alamdarloo, E., Sadi Alekasir, M.S., Gholami, A. Singh, V.P., 2019. Linkage of agricultural drought with meteorological drought in different climates of Iran. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 138, 1025–1033
  5. Chuai, X., Huang, X., Wang, W., Bao, G., 2013. NDVI, temperature and precipitation changes and their relationships with different vegetation types during 1998–2007 in Inner Mongolia, China. International journal of climatology 33(7), 1696-1706
  6. De Graff, J.V., 2018. Encyclopedia of Engineering Geology. Bobrowsky, P.T. and Marker, B. (eds), pp. 923-924, Springer International Publishing, Cham
  7. Du, J., Zhao, C., Shu, J., Jiaerheng, A., Yuan, X., Yin, J., Fang, S., He, P., 2016. Spatiotemporal changes of vegetation on the Tibetan Plateau and relationship to climatic variables during multiyear periods from 1982–2012. Environmental Earth Sciences, 75, 1–18.
  8. Duan, H., Yan, C., Tsunekawa, A., Song, X., Li, S., Xie, J., 2011. Assessing vegetation dynamics in the Three-North Shelter Forest region of China using AVHRR NDVI data. Environmental Earth Sciences 64(4), 1011-1020
  9. Evans, J.D., 1996 Straightforward statistics for the behavioral sciences, Thomson Brooks/Cole Publishing Co
  10. Gregory, P.J., Ingram, J.S.I., Brklacich, M., 2005. Climate change and food security. Philos T Roy Soc B 360, 2139–2148
  11. Heydari Alamdarloo, E., Behrang Manesh, M., Khosravi H., 2018. Probability assessment of vegetation vulnerability to drought based on remote sensing data. Environmental Monitoring Assessment, 190, 702-710.
  12. Hoerling, M., Eischeid, J., Perlwitz, J., Quan, X., Zhang, T., Pegion, P., 2012. On the increased frequency of Mediterranean drought. Journal of Climate, 25, 2146–2161.
  13. Hostert, P., Kuemmerle, T., Prishchepov, A., Sieber, A., Lambin, E.F., Radeloff, V.C., 2011. Rapid land use change after socio-economic disturbances: the collapse of the Soviet Union versus Chernobyl. Environmental Research Letter, 6, 1-9.
  14. Hou, G., Zhang, H., Wang, Y., 2011. Vegetation dynamics and its relationship with climatic factors in the Changbai Mountain Natural Reserve. Journal of Mountain Science 8(6), 865-875
  15. Huntley, B.J., Webb, T., 1988. Vegetation History. Kluwer: Dordrecht, the Netherlands
  16. Isaaks, E., Srivastava, R.M., 1988. Spatial continuity measures for probabilistic and deterministic geostatistics. Mathematical geology 20(4), 313-341
  17. Jenks, G.F., 1977. Optimal data classification for choropleth maps. Department of Geography, University of Kansas: Lawrence, KS
  18. Jiang, L., Bao, A., Guo, H., Ndayisaba, F., 2017. Vegetation dynamics and responses to climate change and human activities in Central Asia. Science of the Total Environment, 599, 967-980.
  19. Lee Rodgers, J., Nicewander, W. A., 1988. Thirteen ways to look at the correlation coefficient. The American Statistician, 42(1), 59-66
  20. Li, Z., Chen, Y., Li, W., Deng, H. and Fang, G., 2015. Potential impacts of climate change on vegetation dynamics in Central Asia. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 120(24), 12345-12356
  21. Khosravi, H., Zareh, A., Eskandari Dameneh, H., Rafiei Sardoii, E., Eskandari Dameneh, H., 2017a. Assessing the effects of the climate change on land cover changes in different time periods. Journal of Geoscience, 10, 93-103.
  22. Khosravi, H., Haydari Alamdarloo, E., Shekoohizadegan, S., Zareie, S., 2017b. Assessment the effect of drought on vegetation in desert area using landsat data. The Egyptian Journal of Remote Sensing and Space Science, 20, S3-S12.
  23. Li, J., Lewis, J., Rowland, J., Tappan, G., Tieszen, L.L., 2004. Evaluation of land performance in Senegal using multi-temporal NDVI and rainfall series. J. Arid Environments, 59, 463-480.
  24. Lin, X. S., Tang, J., Li, Z. Y., Li, H. Y., 2016. Vegetation greenness modelling in response to inter annual temperature and precipitation changes between 2001 and 2012 in Liao River Basin in Jilin Province, China. Springer Plus, 5(1), 1173.
  25. Lioubimtseva, E., 2014. A multi-scale assessment of human vulnerability to climate change in the Aral Sea basin. Environmental Earth Science. 73, 719–729.
  26. Lioubimtseva, E., Cole, R., Adams, J.M., Kapustin, G., 2005. Impacts of climate and land cover changes in arid lands of Central Asia. Journal Arid Environment, 62, 285–308.
  27. Ndayisaba, F., Guo, H., Bao, A., Guo, H., Karamage, F., Kayiranga, A., 2016. Understanding the spatial temporal vegetation dynamics in Rwanda. Remote Sensing, 8(9), 129.
  28. Nemani, R.R., Keeling, C.D., Hashimoto, H., Jolly, W.M., Piper, S.C., Tucker, C.J., Myneni, R.B., Running, S.W., 2003. Climate-driven increases in global terrestrial net primary production from 1982 to 1999. Science, 300, 1560–1563.
  29. Nouri, M., Homaee, M., Bannayan, M., 2017. Climate variability impacts on rained cereal yields in west and northwest Iran. International Journal of Biometeorology, 61(9), 1571-1583.
  30. Piao, S.L., Mohammat, A., Fang, J.Y., Cai, Q., Feng, J.M., 2006. NDVI based increase in growth of temperate grasslands and its responses to climate changes in China. Global Environmental Change, 16, 340–348.
  31. Pôças, I., Cunha, M., Pereira, L.S., Allen, R.G., 2013. Using remote sensing energy balance and evapotranspiration to characterize montane landscape vegetation with focus on grass and pasture lands. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 21, 0159–172.
  32. Potter, C., Boriah, S., Steinbach, M., Kumar, V., Klooster, S., 2008. Terrestrial vegetation dynamics and global climate controls. Climate Dynamics, 31(1), 67–78. doi: 10.1007/s00382-007-0339-5.
  33. Potter, C.S., Brooks, V., 1998. Global analysis of empirical relations between annual climate and seasonality of NDVI. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 15, 2921–2948.
  34. Qu, B. Zhu, W. Jia, S. H., Lv, A., 2015. Spatio-Temporal Changes in Vegetation Activity and Its Driving Factors during the Growing Season in China from 1982 to 2011. Remote Sensing, 7, 13729-13752.
  35. Sadeghi, A., Kamgar-Haghighi, A., Sepaskhah, A., Khalili, D., Zand-Parsa, S., 2002. Regional classification for dryland agriculture in southern Iran. Journal of Arid Environment, 50, 333–341. doi:10.1006/jare.2001.0822
  36. Tang, Z., Ma, J., Peng, H., Wang, S., Wei, J., 2017. Spatiotemporal changes of vegetation and their responses to temperature and precipitation in upper Shiyang river basin. Advances in Space Research, 60, 969–979.
  37. Tong, S., Zhang, J., Ha, S., Lai, Q., Ma, Q., 2016. Dynamics of fractional vegetation coverage and its relationship with climate and human activities in Inner Mongolia, China. Remote Sensing, 8(9), 776-787.
  38. Wang, J., Price, K.P. and Rich, P.M., 2001. Spatial patterns of NDVI in response to temperature and precipitation in the central Great Plains. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 22, 3827-3844.
  39. Whitlock, C,, Bartlein, P.J., 1997. Vegetation and climate change in northwest America during the past 125 kyr. Nature, 388(6637), 57–61, doi:10.1038/40380.
  40. Yang, Z., Gao, J., Zhou, C., Shi, P., Zhao, L., Shen, W., Ouyang, H., 2011. Spatio-temporal changes of NDVI and its relation with climatic variables in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow rivers. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 21(6), 979-993.
  41. Yu, F., Price, K.P., Ellis, J., Shi, P., 2003. Response of seasonal vegetation development to climatic variations in eastern central Asia. Remote Sensing of Environment, 87, 42–54.
  42. Zhang, Y.X., Wang, Y.K., Fu, B., Dixit, A.M., Chaudhary, S. and Wang, S., 2020. Impact of climatic factors on vegetation dynamics in the upper Yangtze River basin in China. Journal of Mountain Science 17, 1235-1250
  43. Zheng, Y., Han, J., Huang, Y., Fassnacht, S. R., Xie, S., Lv, E., Chen, M., 2017. Vegetation response to climate conditions based on NDVI simulations using stepwise cluster analysis for the Three-River Headwaters region of China. Ecological Indicators, 92, 18-29.
  44. Zhu, X., He, H.S., Zhang, S., Dijak, W.D. and Fu, Y., 2019. Interactive Effects of Climatic Factors on Seasonal Vegetation Dynamics in the Central Loess Plateau, China. Forests 10(12), 1071